Political Polling in the Age of Trump
Unfortunately, part of Trump’s political persona is his unpredictability, making any projections that involve him more difficult to predict. Elections are not the exception: they’re the rule. Polls being harder to trust when Trump is involved has led to multiple things: when he is ahead in a poll, his supporters and Trump himself argue he will win by a landslide, and when Biden is leading, Trump and his supporters argue that it means nothing.